In this 29 March 2020 update available in paperback and Kindle, David Owen analyses and describes the mental and physical condition of political leaders past and present with a particular view that what went before paved the way to President Trump.
Of recent leaders there have been depressives, alcoholics, narcissists, populists and those affected by hubris syndrome and driven by their religious beliefs, as in Bush and Blair.
But Donald Trump, a world class narcissist, presents a very different set of issues, as does Boris Johnson, the UK Prime Minister, also assessed in this revised edition.
Both are ‘populists’ and both have been economical with the truth in their public statements. Trump is an inveterate user of social media and some of his ‘Tweets’ have been branded as totally inappropriate for an American President. In 2020 he faced impeachment and in November faces the electorate as he seeks re-election. Boris Johnson can be described as ‘promiscuous’, the OED offers ‘without discrimination or method.’ His premiership is in its infancy but he has much to do to fulfil election pledges.
Both Trump and Johnson have major roles in 2020. Trump’s Middle East initiative, his attempts to quell tensions with Iran and N. Korea and plans for China will define his presidency. Johnson’s focus will be on preserving the UK, new trade deals post Brexit and addressing the NHS, regional development and defence. The prospects for both Trump and Johnson are assessed incisively by David Owen and the book is an essential read for all students of politics and psychology of world leaders.
Buy the book here: Hubris – The Road to Donald Trump
Read an article about the earlier hardback edition published in the UK’s Sunday Times on 28 October 2018: Trump floats above us all on a double bubble of narcissism and hubris | Comment | The Sunday Times2
“I do not want a world in which there is not an independent British voice.”
David Owen & David Ludlow
13 July 2017, £12.99, Paperback
Buy the book here: British foreign policy after Brexit
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At a time of alarming global instability, amid shocking terrorist attacks in Europe and mounting tensions between the USA and North Korea, a clear and focused foreign and defence policy is ever more critical. Now that UK’s departure from the EU is underway, what happens next?
Against this unpredictable geopolitical backdrop, Britain’s position in the world needs to be recalibrated to take account of a range of new realities. Now is the time to move forward, to define a positive, outward looking, role in this post-Brexit world.
British Foreign Policy after Brexit examines what lies ahead, encompassing a diplomatic, security, development and trade agenda based on hard-headed realism. Former Foreign Secretary David Owen and former diplomat David Ludlow, who backed opposite sides in the referendum, together argue that Britain’s global role and influence can be enhanced, rather than diminished, post-Brexit.
British Foreign Policy after Brexit by David Owen and David Ludlow is, perhaps surprisingly, a book written by two people from different generations who voted on opposite sides in the 2016 referendum. One a politician, the other a former diplomat, they both have significant business experience in world markets.
The authors demonstrate how Britain’s global role and influence can be enhanced rather than diminished post-Brexit, with a diplomatic, security, development and trade agenda based on hard-headed realism, including a review of budgetary priorities.
As a firmly European country, they see the UK as a key player with Germany and France in the wider Europe, and a leader in security issues threatening the continent’s stability. They do not regard the relationship with Moscow as inevitably confrontational, but believe strengthening NATO is essential and a top priority to contain Russia.
In the wider world, a reinvigorated UK US relationship will be critical, but must accommodate differences in some core areas, e.g. in dealing with China. Furthermore, they see the UK’s new aircraft carrier at the heart of a UN Rapid Reaction Force drawn mainly from Commonwealth countries, including Australia, Canada, India and New Zealand, and supporting operations around the globe.
Buy the book here: British foreign policy after Brexit
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“30-year denial of 1940 meetings helped the diminution of the War Cabinet’s standing and contributed to the rise of Presidential government, culminating in the Second Iraq War.”
David Owen writes about the pivotal British War Cabinet meetings of May 1940. The minutes and documents reveal just how close Britain came to seeking a negotiated peace with Nazi Germany. Cabinet’s Finest Hour is both the story of Churchill’s determination to fight on and a paean to the Cabinet system of government.
The Cabinet system, all too often disparaged as messy and cumbersome, worked in Britain’s interests and ensured a democracy on the brink of defeat had the courage to assess the alternatives to figghting on. The post-war denial of both the existence and legitimacy of the war cabinet debates had far-reaching consequences for Britain’s foreign and defence policy for the rest of the century, starting over the Suez Crisis but reaching its nadir over the Second Iraq War. The way Labour transformed itself from 1931 to 1938 and the cross-party alliance in Parliament from 1938 to 1940 bear lessons for today.
“Eight months into the war, defeat seemed to many a certainty. With the United States still a year and half away from entering, Britain found itself in a perilous position, and foreign secretary Lord Halifax pushed prime minister Winston Churchill to explore the possibility of a negotiated peace with Hitler, using Mussolini as a conduit. Speaking for England is the story of Churchill’s triumph in the face of this pressure, but it is also about how collective debate and discussion won the day—had Churchill been alone, Owen argues, he would almost certainly have lost to Halifax, changing the course of history.”
Purchase the book here: Cabinet’s Finest Hour
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In Sickness and In Power: Illness in heads of government, military and business leaders since 1900. (Updated version of original In Sickness and In Power: Illness in heads of government over the last 100 years, Methuen, 2008, paperback 2009 and updated edition, 2011)
Political leaders’ ill-conceived decisions are often connected to their own illness, claims David Owen in a revised and considerably updated version of his original 2008 edition.
In Sickness and In Power looks at illness in heads of government since 1900. The 2016 edition contains a new chapter dealing with the military and considerable new material on business leaders. It considers how illness and therapy – both physical and mental – affect the decision-making of heads of government, engendering folly, in the sense of foolishness, stupidity or rashness. Owen is particularly interested in leaders who were not ill in the conventional sense, whose cognitive faculties functioned well, but who developed a ‘hubristic syndrome’ that powerfully affected their performance and their actions. Whether it be examples from politics, business or the military, they suffer a loss of capacity and become excessively self-confident and contemptuous of advice that runs counter to what they believe, or sometimes of any advice at all.
Long fascinated with the inter-relationship between politics and medicine, David Owen uses his deep knowledge of both to look at sickness in leaders. Owen expertly scrutinises such diverse political personalities as Sir Anthony Eden at the time of Suez in 1956; John F. Kennedy and the Bay of Pigs fiasco in 1961; the last Shah of Iran; and President Mitterrand of France who suffered from prostate cancer. The author also devotes a chapter to the hubristic behaviour and relationship between President Bush and Prime Minister Blair. The book ends by outlining some of the safeguards that society needs to address as a consequence of illness in leaders.
Purchase the book here: In Sickness and In Power.
“If the only option in the forthcoming UK referendum becomes a minimalist renegotiation… there is a real chance that the British people will, and in my view should, vote to leave the EU” (p.9)
- Former Foreign Secretary David Owen argues that the EU Referendum represents an opportunity to enact necessary, comprehensive reform – without which the UK should leave the EU
- The Eurozone must not be allowed to dominate EU foreign and security policy, in order to avoid blunders such as the Ukraine conflict or competition with NATO
- Reform recommendations include: the formalisation of Eurozone and Non-Eurozone groupings; a Schengen opt-out for new EU members; a full voting membership in the EEA Single Market for Turkey in 2016
The EU’s attempts at conflict resolution have left much to be desired. In the Ukraine, the Baltic States, Turkey and much of the Middle East, there is a lack of coherent policy.
This pamphlet argues that the renegotiations around the UK’s referendum vote represent an opportunity to enact wide-scale reform, not least to ensure that the nations of an increasingly politically integrated Eurozone do notcome to dominate the Foreign and Security policy of the EU in years to come. To allow them to do so would almost certainly see the policy of ‘common defence’ advance at the expense of the United States’ lasting commitment to NATO.
Former Foreign Secretary David Owen argues that should Britain’s reform negotiations with the EU fail there will be serious implications for our security, and that foreign policy and security belong at the heart of the reforms the EU so desperately needs.
Available to buy now: The UK’s In-Out Referendum
Former Foreign Secretary, Lord David Owen, a lifelong European, says “Without a very different renegotiation, for the first time in my life I could well vote ‘No’ to remaining in the EU. Continuing with much the same EU is not supportable.”
The book was extensively updated in February 2016 to reflect Lord Owen’s support for VoteLeave in the UK referendum. A free PDF copy of this version is available here: Europe Restructured: Vote to Leave
Or for 99p, you can access a version for Kindle.
Six years on from the global financial crisis the Eurozone is still in the midst of its own economic crisis. Greece’s problems are not resolved. The French and Italian economies are still not grappling with their need for radical change and there are weaknesses in other Eurozone economies. These economic problems and the geopolitical problems of the wider Europe like Ukraine are inextricably linked to whether the UK will decide to remain in the EU. It will be a catastrophe if the EU dismisses the UK referendum as one of little significance, a matter just for the British.
In his book Europe Restructured Lord Owen provides a negotiable blueprint for a restructured EU Single Market within the European Economic Area. It allows for more and more opt outs for the UK as it lifts its veto on the necessary ever greater integration of the Eurozone in order to alleviate its six year crisis, and as the Eurozone inevitably introduces more and more Qualified Majority Voting. He advocates the UK remaining in the EU Single Market within the European Economic Area (EEA), and that this area should be opened, in principle, to all of the wider European states as full voting members when they fulfil the criteria for entry, such as Turkey, already an associate of the EU, and Switzerland. But they are not offered free movement of people and labour. Also in future any EU country like the UK that does not want to be in the Eurozone nor in the Schengen group and wish to retain control of its own borders they would no longer be obliged to offer free movement of people and labour to any new EU member. That means that eight countries* in the queue for EU membership would be stopped from the automatic right to come into the UK. This is a huge but necessary reduction in potential open access to the UK. Unlike over Poland, Bulgaria and Romania it means closing an open door before it happens. The distinction that makes this possible is that free movement is not essential for a Single Market but is essential for an ever-greater integrated Eurozone.
By reviving Political Cooperation for those Single Market EEA counties who wish to participate and who are not in the Eurozone, the way is paved for the UK to opt out from the pretension of an evermore integrated Common EU Foreign and Security Policy and EU integrated common defence. Gone would be all the tortured and deeply damaging wording in the Nice and Lisbon Treaties that still stand and threaten the UK’s self-government. Political Cooperation served the UK well in the past for cooperating and coordinating foreign and security policy.
Lord Owen says “This restructuring is both more realistic and far reaching than anything at present on the Government’s very limited negotiating agenda. It is the means for avoiding Brexit, a course on which at present we are sleepwalking towards.”
*(countries affected: Albania, Bosnia-Herzogovina, Kosovo, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro, Serbia, Ukraine)
The National Health Service is the most enduring of the institutions created by the first real Labour Government, elected in 1945. Before the NHS was created, treatment of ill health was provided by doctors in their surgeries and in hospitals, all of which had to be paid for by the patients. Many poorer families paid their GPs a monthly sum as they were usually in arrears with the fees.
The Labour Government’s vision was for a health service free for everybody and this was launched in 1948, with Aneurin Bevan as first Minister for Health. Now after nearly 70 years, with the costs of the NHS running at some £120 billions annually, and threatened by the 2012 Health and Social Care Act, the NHS is in danger of being classed as any other utility, gas, water, electricity and is imminent danger of marketisation and commercialisation.
In his book The Health of the Nation, David Owen has explained the consequences of the 2012 Act and the damage to the NHS that will result. Those most affected will be those who can least afford good health care. This book presents a powerful case for the repeal of the 2012 Act and for the restoration of the NHS to its traditional values.
Copies available here: The Health of the Nation
Read the Nursing Times review here: The Health of the Nation | Book review | Nursing Times
The Hidden Perspective: The Military Conversations
1906 -1914 (Haus Publishing, 2014)
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‘The history of the First World War has been exhaustively studied in relation to events of the fateful structure of the alliances. The area in between, the impact of the tactical management of diplomacy on the inevitability of war, has received inadequate attention. David Owen has filled that gap … [this book] should be essential reading for contemporary statesmen; it is a story of how overreaction to immediate problems can lead to eventual disaster.’ – Dr Henry Kissinger
Within weeks of taking office in December 1905, Foreign Minister Edward Grey agreed toenter detailed talks with his French counterparts about sending a British Expeditionary Force to France in the event of a German attack. Neither the Cabinet nor Parliament were told. Indeed, Grey only informed Asquith in 1911, three years after he became Prime Minister, by which time the ‘hidden perspective’ of the Foreign Office, whose attitude was described by the German Ambassador Metternich as ‘more French than the French’, was firmly established, and Britain all but obliged to stand by their side in the event of a war.
Following a Cabinet revolt after the details of the Military Conversations were at last revealed, Haldane, the Secretary for War, attempted to slow Germany’s rapid naval expansion on a mission to Berlin, advocating a land deal in Africa as an incentive. These talks failed, with Britain backing off from the words ‘benevolent neutrality’. But another mission to Germany was underway as late as July 1914.
In this scholarly and eloquent work, building on extensive primary sources, Lord Owen argues that the outbreak of war in 1914 was far from inevitable, and instead represented eight years of failed diplomacy. Britain was the only country with the political and military strength to force Germany and France to negotiate, and instead was stuck in the mud of the continent.
The perils of a foreign policy not involving Cabinet are particularly relevant today, and when the Iraq Inquiry publishes later this year these lessons will once again be brought to the forefront of public discourse and debate.
Copies available here: The Hidden Perspectives
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In 1992 David Owen was appointed the EU Co-Chairman of the International Conference on the Former Yugoslavia, working alongside the UN’s Co-Chairman, Cyrus Vance. The papers collected here provide fascinating primary source material and an insider’s account of the intense international political activity at that time, which culminated in the Vance-Owen Peace Plan (VOPP). At a time when the international community is looking again at whether and how the Dayton Accords and the 1995 division into two entities should be adjusted in Bosnia-Herzegovina, Owen highlights elements of the VOPP which are of continuing relevance and which can guide political debate. Sadly, Bosnia-Herzegovina is still deeply divided, a direct consequence of not imposing the VOPP. The book reminds the international community and the people of Bosnia-Herzegovina that a unified structure for their country is still achievable.
Copies available here: Bosnia-Herzegovina
For some politicians and business leaders, power can become an intoxicating drug and can affect their actions and decision making in a most serious way. The ancient Greeks called it hubris and identified arrogance and contempt for others’ opinions as classic traits. They also took comfort in the knowledge that the Gods would punish the guilty ones – nemesis.
In this 2012 revised edition of The Hubris Syndrome, first published in 2007, David Owen has drawn on new material that he has written in Brain and other medical journals. He has also drawn on published memoirs of the main players in the Iraq war and on evidence given to the Iraq Inquiry. All this reinforces his earlier assertion that George W Bush and Tony Blair developed hubris syndrome during their terms in office. From their behaviour, beliefs and governing style, Owen has analysed the two leaders, with particular reference to the Iraq War, to show that their handling of the Iraq War was a litany of hubristic incompetence.
During Blair’s premiership, David Owen had several meetings and conversations with him that afforded a unique insight into his modus operandi. In this book Owen presents a devastating critique of how Bush and Blair manipulated intelligence, ignored informed advice and failed to plan for the aftermath of regime change in Iraq. Their messianic manner, excessive self-confidence and belief that they would be vindicated by a ‘higher court’ brought chaos to Iraq and resulted in hundreds of thousands of civilian casualties.
Copies available here: The Hubris Syndrome
Nuclear Papers (Liverpool University Press, 2009) Additional information
Originally published in advance of the 2010 inter-governmental Review Conference of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, Nuclear Papers made available for the first time newly declassified government correspondence from David Owen’s tenure as Foreign Secretary and an insight into the work of, and response to, the last major strategic nuclear study of the UK’s nuclear needs, which was undertaken in 1978.
The book demonstrates sustained dialogue between the Callaghan and Carter administrations on the one hand but also the internal disputes and concerns of the UK government as the Cold War and a bleak economic outlook exerted equal pressures, in much the same way as recent foreign policy and the economic downturn have challenged the current government. Owen skilfully ties the events of 30 years ago to the present, highlighting Barack Obama’s determination to “show the world that America believes in its existing commitment under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty to work ultimately to eliminate all nuclear arms”.
This book is an attempt to rejuvenate and expand discussions on the future of the world’s nuclear weapons by exploring the classified and highly sensitive debates of the past. It will be required reading for anyone interested in UK and US nuclear policy.
Copies available here: Nuclear Papers
Copies available here: Balkan Odyssey
Seven Ages: Poetry for a Lifetime (Michael Joseph, 1992) – All profits go to Great Ormond Street Hospital for Sick Children
This anthology, organised on the basis of the seven ages of Shakespeare’s As You Like It explores our rich poetic heritage.
The ages represented by the Infant, School, Lover, Soldier, Wisdom, Sixth Age and Last Scene provide the framework for the poems.
In Lord Owen’s own words, “I have been collecting and memorising poems ever since I was a schoolboy. The choice throughout this anthology is therefore deeply personal and I have aimed at keeping a balance between the familiar and the unknown, old and modern. This collection reflects my passionate conviction that poetry id for everyone.”
Copies available now on a print-on-demand basis via Anthony Rowe: +44 (0)1323 434700.
Eighteen years ago when interviewing David Owen on the publication of his autobiography, David Frost said “I love the title – Time to Declare – because – in cricketing terms it means you can have a second innings.” This book is Lord Owen’s first and second innings in political terms.
His original autobiography has been substantially reduced to focus on what is relevant today. A third of the book is devoted to his second innings with chapters on his time in the Balkans 1992-1995, the “Yes to Europe, no to the euro” campaign he led as Chairman of New Europe from 1999-2005 and chapters on Tony Blair and Iraq, Gordon Brown and the financial crisis 2007 onwards, the Hubris Syndrome of Presidents and Prime Ministers and finally a timetable for political reform aimed at whichever government emerges out of the 2010 General Election.
Drawing on the history of growing government incompetence, of ever increasing stress on spin rather than substance, the absence of Cabinet government and the scandals that have engulfed Parliament, David Owen argues powerfully and persuasively for a government of national unity to emerge from the 2010 election. He believes that the scale of the fiscal crisis facing any new government demands that they can speak for more than 50% of the electorate. He does not disguise his preference for a government made up of more than one party.
Copies available here: Time to Declare
Books published before 1990
The Time Has Come: Partnership for Progress, David Owen & David Steel (Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1987)
David Owen Personally Speaking to Kenneth Harris (Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1987 and Pan Books, 1988)
A United Kingdom (Penguins Books, 1986)
A Future That Will Work (Viking and Penguin Books, 1984)
Face the Future (Jonathan Cape, 1981, Oxford University press paperback, 1981)
Human Rights (Jonathan Cape, 1978)
In Sickness and In Health: The Politics of Medicine (Quartet Books, 1976)
The Politics of Defence (Jonathan Cape, 1972